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Shares, Not Bets

On PrometheX, you don’t place “bets” — you buy and sell shares that represent outcomes. This is an important distinction because it means you can trade in and out of positions anytime, just like stocks. Every market has a question (e.g., “Will the Fed cut rates in July 2026?”) and two or more possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own shares that you can buy and sell.

How Share Prices Work

Every share on PrometheX is priced between 1.00 USDC. Here’s the key rule:
**Yes shares + No shares always equal $1.00.** If Yes is $0.72, then No is $0.28. Always.
The price of a share reflects the crowd’s view on the probability of that outcome:
Yes priceNo priceWhat the market thinks
$0.80$0.2080% chance Yes happens
$0.50$0.50Coin flip — market is undecided
$0.15$0.85Only 15% chance Yes happens

Why Prices Move

Prices move based on supply and demand:
  • More people buy Yes → Yes price goes up, No price goes down
  • More people buy No → No price goes up, Yes price goes down
This is handled automatically by the APMM (Automated Prediction Market Maker) — a smart contract that acts as a trading pool. Think of it as a robot that always stands ready to buy or sell shares from you. It adjusts prices based on how much buying and selling is happening on each side.
You never need to wait for another person to take the other side of your trade. The APMM pool always provides liquidity, so you can trade instantly at any time.

Buying Shares

PrometheX buy interface showing outcome selection, amount input, and potential payout
When you buy shares, here’s what happens:
1

You spend USDC

You enter how much USDC you want to spend (e.g., $10).
2

The APMM calculates your shares

Based on the current price and pool state, the APMM figures out how many shares you receive. If Yes shares cost $0.60 each, $10 gets you roughly 16.6 shares (minus a small fee).
3

Shares go to your account

The shares appear in your portfolio immediately. You now own a position in that market.
Slippage is the difference between the price you expect and the price you actually get. Larger trades move the price more, which means more slippage. For most normal-sized trades, slippage is minimal.

Selling Shares

You can sell your shares at any time before the market resolves:
1

Go to the market

Open the market where you hold shares.
2

Select Sell

Choose how many shares you want to sell.
3

Receive USDC

The APMM buys your shares back at the current market price. USDC is returned to your account instantly.
If the price has gone up since you bought, you make a profit. If it’s gone down, you take a loss. Either way, you don’t have to wait for the market to end — you can exit whenever you want.

When a Market Resolves

When the real-world event happens (or doesn’t), the market resolves — one outcome is declared the winner:
What you holdOutcomePayout per share
Winning sharesYour side wins$1.00 USDC
Losing sharesThe other side wins$0.00
After resolution, just tap Claim on the market page to collect your winnings. The USDC goes directly to your smart account.
The profit math is simple: If you bought Yes shares at $0.35 and Yes wins, you get $1.00 per share. That’s a $0.65 profit per share — nearly a 186% return on what you paid.

A Complete Example

Let’s walk through a full trade:
1

You see a market

“Will the Lakers win the NBA championship?” — Yes is priced at 0.25, No at 0.75.
2

You buy Yes shares

You think the Lakers have a better shot than 25%, so you spend 20 USDC and receive about 80 Yes shares (at 0.25 each).
3

The price moves

Other people start buying Yes too. The price rises to 0.40. Your 80 shares are now worth $32 — a $12 unrealized profit.
4

You decide

Option A: Sell now at 0.40 for a $12 profit.
Option B: Hold and wait. If the Lakers win, your 80 shares pay out $80 (a $60 profit). If they lose, you get $0.

Key Things to Remember

Your maximum loss is the amount of USDC you spent. You can never owe more than your initial trade.
Don’t want to wait for the market to end? Sell your shares back at the current price whenever you like.
When lots of smart people trade on a market, the price often becomes a remarkably good estimate of the true probability. This is called the “wisdom of crowds.”
Every trade on PrometheX is gasless. The platform sponsors all blockchain transaction costs through account abstraction (a technology that lets the platform pay fees on your behalf).

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