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How Do We Know Who Wins?

When a real-world event happens, someone needs to confirm the result so the market can pay out winners. This process is called resolution. On PrometheX, resolution is handled by a decentralized system — not by one person or company. This ensures fairness and transparency.

The Resolution Process

1

The event happens

The real-world event that the market is based on occurs. For example, an election concludes, a game finishes, or a deadline passes.
2

Someone asserts the outcome

After the event, an authorized party (usually the market creator) submits the result to the blockchain. This is called an assertion — a formal statement like “Yes, Bitcoin did hit $100k.”To make this assertion, the asserter puts up a bond — a deposit of real money that they’ll lose if their assertion turns out to be wrong. This financial incentive keeps people honest.
3

Challenge window opens

A countdown begins (typically 2 hours). During this time, anyone in the world can check the assertion. If someone sees that the asserted outcome is wrong, they can dispute it.If nobody disputes, the assertion is accepted as correct.
4

Market settles

Once the challenge window closes without a dispute (or after a dispute is resolved), the market is officially settled:
  • Winning shares are redeemable for $1.00 USDC each
  • Losing shares become worthless
  • Winners can tap Claim to collect their payout

The Oracle: Your Neutral Referee

PrometheX uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle to verify outcomes. An oracle is an independent system that brings real-world information onto the blockchain. Here’s why it’s called “optimistic”:
The UMA Optimistic Oracle assumes assertions are correct unless someone disputes them. This makes resolution fast — most markets settle in just a couple of hours. It’s only when there’s a disagreement that the process takes longer.
Think of it like a referee in a sports game. Most of the time, the call stands. But if someone challenges it, there’s a review process to get the right answer.

Why This Matters to You

  • No trust required — You don’t have to trust PrometheX or any single person to declare the right outcome
  • Anyone can verify — The assertion is public, and anyone can check it against reality
  • Financial incentives — The bond system ensures that asserting the wrong outcome is expensive
  • Dispute protection — If something is wrong, anyone can challenge it

What Happens After Resolution?

Once a market is resolved:
Your positionWhat happensAction needed
You hold winning sharesEach share is worth $1.00 USDCTap Claim to collect
You hold losing sharesShares are worth $0None — they expire
You provided liquidityRemaining pool value is availableWithdraw your LP position
There’s no deadline to claim your winnings. The USDC will be waiting for you in the smart contract whenever you’re ready to collect. And as always, claiming is gas-free.

Resolution Timeline

Here’s a typical timeline for how resolution works:
StepDurationWhat’s happening
Event occursThe real-world event plays out
Assertion submittedWithin hoursSomeone submits the result on-chain
Challenge window~2 hoursAnyone can verify and dispute
Market settledInstantWinners can claim once the window closes
Most markets resolve smoothly within a few hours of the event happening. Disputes are rare because the bond system incentivizes honest assertions.

What if the Outcome Is Wrong?

If you believe the asserted outcome is incorrect, you can dispute it. The dispute process escalates the question to a broader group of voters who determine the correct answer. For full details on how disputes work, see the Disputes guide.

Next Steps